From the beginning of the rollout of the COVID shots, some doctors and other COVID vaccine critics have voiced strong opinions on the possible link between COVID shots and a dramatic increase in reported miscarriages.
A new study by Dr. James Thorp, a board certified OB/Gyn, compares VAERS (Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System) data on the effect of the COVID vaccines on pregnant women with the effect of the adverse events reported from the flu vaccine. The results are alarming.
As Dr. Thorp mentioned on the Tucker Carlson show, the study, which is set to be published in a peer reviewed publication, shows a dramatic increase in reproductive health complications for women and their unborn babies, including a 57x increase in miscarriages, and a 38x increase in stillbirths.
Skeptics of the link between miscarriage and the COVID shot point to deficiencies in the VAERS system as well as several studies that purport to show that there is no link.
In a “Fact Check” article by Reuters from November of 2022, the news publication proposes that the spike in VAERS reports of miscarriages is due to “media coverage” increasing the rate of self-reporting.
Rates of reporting to VAERS can vary from year to year, and from vaccine to vaccine, with many factors, including media coverage of a disease or a vaccine, influencing the number of reports filed. The effect was seen after the U.S. launch of the first HPV vaccine in 2006, which was followed by a spike in VAERS reports associated with that vaccine in 2007 and 2008, then a steady decline in reports even as the number of children getting vaccinated continued to rise (here). VAERS reporting rates in the first two-and-a-half years after FDA approval of the HPV vaccine were also found in a separate study to have tracked with media coverage and internet search activity related to that vaccine (here).Reuters: Fact Check-Graph of unverified data is not evidence of increased miscarriage risk with COVID vaccination
One problem with this theory is that the media coverage has been overwhelmingly supportive of the vaccine’s safety, and has succeeded in achieving record numbers of participation in the COVID shots. Could positive media coverage that has boosted the public’s confidence in the vaccine’s safety be responsible for an increase in the reporting of adverse events after the injection?
On the VAERS official website, hosted on the Department of Health and Human Services website, the CDC and the FDA, which sponsor VAERS, state the strengths and weaknesses of the VAERS reporting system:
VAERS accepts all reports of adverse health events following vaccinations without judging whether the vaccine caused the adverse health event. Some reports to VAERS represent true vaccine reactions and others are coincidental adverse health events and not related to vaccination. Overall, a causal relationship cannot be established using information from VAERS report alone.
Strengths of VAERS:
- VAERS collects national data from all U.S. states and territories
- VAERS accepts reports from anyone
- The VAERS form collects information about the vaccine, the person vaccinated and the adverse event
- Data are publicly available
- VAERS can be used as an early warning system to identify rare adverse events
- VAERS is a tool for identifying potential vaccine safety concerns that need further study using more robust data systems
Limitations of VAERS:
- It is generally not possible to find out from VAERS data if a vaccine caused the adverse event
- Reports submitted to VAERS often lack details and sometimes contains errors
- Serious adverse events are more likely to be reported than non-serious events
- Numbers of reports may increase in response to media attention and increased public awareness
- VAERS data cannot be used to determine rates of adverse events
Dr. Thorp and the other authors, including Dr. McCullough recommend a “worldwide moratorium on the use of COVID-19 vaccines in pregnancy is advised until randomized prospective trials document safety in pregnancy and long-term followup in offspring.”
On Wednesday, Dr. Thorp will be participating in a webinar on the COVID shot and reproductive health.